Now after looking at the 4 stats above, you can drill down into the next 5 key stats to get a clearer picture of what's happening. Currently, one of my biggest game day stresses is finding a qualified student to run the clock. Pace Factor = Minutes per Game x ((Team Possessions + Opponent Possessions) (2 x (Team Minutes Played 5))) Where: The data has made it clear that high-school players are reluctant to attempt mid-range jump shots, and they fail to convert on them at the same rate as other shot variations. So, it's a tradeoff between having more buttons to look for vs. taking extra time to answer a second prompt. While the conclusions drawn from the data may have been predictable, they are valuable nevertheless and can be used to hopefully win high-school basketball games one possession at a time. For example, in the first two offensive possessions, Player A has made two three-pointers. All Rights Reserved. We are actually asking todoublethe time of an average possession in a high school game by 15 seconds, Ellis pointed out. I'm coaching a 5th grade boys team and am wondering would this be beneficial at this age level? Dave -Yes, we have considered those ideas for the app. This chart is used for tracking game flow and can give you valuable real time info such as points per possession (PPP). For now comparing to the opponent works for me and is a metric the players seem to understand. Chicago is the mecca of basketball and we need to catch up with the times.. So it's certainly something you want to track. That might depend on your style. Either a 2 or a 3 is used to denote a field goal attempt. If it's a negative number, that means we're not doing good. This is a critical report for us and this tool makes me a better coach. The current average through March 4 games is 67.58, according to college basketball . Pair with effective field goal percentage to get a clearer picture. Basketball is a simple game of pass and catch. Subscribe to our free monthly newsletter to receive new drills, plays, scoring tips and coaching strategies, Always appreciate suggestions! How to calculate Pace Factor. Each year you will see a game or two that is played at a glacially slow pace - 55 or fewer possessions - and a few that are run at a ridiculous speed - 90 possessions or more. During Moreys tenure with the Rockets, they only missed the playoffs a total of three times in 13 seasons and the Rockets hold the current longest playoff streak of any team in the NBA of 10 straight playoff-bound seasons, all of which came under Daryl Moreys management. Again, most of these things have been long established by Daryl Morey and others that wish to limit the other teams offensive output at the professional level. Players with the most positive numbers should be encouraged to do more of what they are doing. Moreyball: The Numbers Behind the Numbers, https://spotlight153.com/sports/2021/02/24/moreyball-the-numbers-behind-the-numbers/#comment-117281, PPP(points per possession) for the average possession of a high school basketball game (disregarding turnovers in an effort to make the study specific to shooting efficiency), PPP of the average possession when a three-point shot is taken, PPP of the average possession when a mid-range shot being taken, PPP of the average possession when a close shot is taken, PPP of the average possession when a player attempts a free-throw or is granted a shooting foul. Give it a try, it's free! The boys, 17 and 16, were shot less than half a mile from one another about 20 minutes apart, police said. It's possible to get a more accurate possession count through play by play data. Or you could do it the Apple way and just make it work for the most common use model. Jeff:This is actually my profession - I'm a software developer with over 30 years experience and I've both given and taken many classes in UI design, so I know what you went through. I would be thrilled with a shot clock. DISTRICT 4-4A . The reason for that is that early 3s are more likely to go in. The Writers Guild of America said its 11,500 unionized screenwriters will walk the picket line Tuesday. Possessions are defined as one or more sequences in a row belonging to the same team. In just a couple taps of the iPad or iPhone, you can instantly calculate all the stats. Writers say that in the streaming era they are not being paid enough. Each of these lineups averaged at least five or more minutes on the floor. Track your opponent as well. Nothing is worse than working really hard on a possession only to foul your opponent and gives them two easy free throws. TeamRankings; BetIQ; PoolGenius; TeamRankings; BetIQ; PoolGenius; Show Menu . Players with negative rating should be similarly educated.and played less until they can correct. While unexciting, these discoveries can also be taken into account for the way a high-school team plays defense. It doesn't logically fit into my structure so I just keep it separate. Note that the further right along the x-axis a point is, the more reliable the data is as it represents a higher sample size of that particular scoring method. Simply subscribe to our monthly newsletter and receive: 72 Basketball Drills & Coaching Tips - 136 page eBook, 21 Basketball Tips & Tricks for Players - 20 page eBook, 32 Winning Basketball Plays - 96 page eBook, Over 200,000 players, coaches and parents subscribed. That is why the article lists the "4 most important stats" to be:- FGA- EFG% (which considers both 3pt and 2pt shots)- FTA- FT%I suppose I could reword the sentence you pointed out to say"To win you either need to shoot a higher EFG and FT percentage -- or take more shots than your opponent. While many would say Morey is a good or even great NBA GM, he is especially iconic for how he revolutionized the game of basketball as a whole, and some would even say he changed the game all the way down to the high school basketball level. The IHSA has not deviated from NFHS rules historically, as doing so forfeits our voice in the national rules writing process, IHSA spokesperson Matt Troha said. It is one of our key individual most important plays along with deflections (which indicates you are in position, anticipating and playing hard), First to the floor which helps us win the 50/50 balls along with charges which protect our basket. That's why it's called "space and pace.". So Morey told his coaches and players to draw as many fouls and shoot as many three-pointers and layups as possible in order to maximize offensive efficiency, and it seems to have worked. The National Federation of State High School Associations continually discusses the addition of a shot clock to high school basketball. In the graph below, we see the results of 4 games of footage and 512 total possessions. We don't put a lot of focus on this stat (although we do shoot a ton of free throws in practice), but this final stat gives you the rest of the story and helps you determine where points are coming from. Record and last ranking are in parenthesis. I want to know why!! It's an incredibly revealing stat.That is such a terrific and simple stat - tells you how frequently you stop your opponent from scoring. For me, these are KEY Performance Indicators that all coaches should look for each game. A jump ball doesn't necessarily count as a turnover. Here's what we believe are the most important basketball statistics for a competitive level coach (high school level and higher) where the primary objective is to win games. It also takes some practice.We use the same one or two stat keepers all season. Good point. Fans and media hoping timed possessions will increase scoring and entertainment value of high school basketball might be disappointed by examination of MaxPreps data. Do Not Sell My Personal Information | Assuming that committee supported the change, it would run through our normal committee process for feedback, and the IHSA Board of Directors would have the ultimate say on if, when, and how the shot clock would be implemented.. Most will fall into the 60-80 range, though. If it's a positive number, that means we're beating our opponent in that area (and just as importantly I can see exactly how much we're beating them by). This is the average number of points scored per possession. Now you don't always have to get more FG attempts than your opponent. What can you work on improving so youre better prepared next time to handle that press? Of course there are other ways to collect and calculate this information. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warns lawmakers that if they do not vote to raise or suspend the nations borrowing authority it could cause a global financial crisis. NCAA Basketball possessions per game, by team. Those situations are amazing in what you see.. Enter your email and we'll send you exclusive predictions and analysis. Then I look at the bottom 5 stats. Ellis knows that those opposed to the shot clock assume that with fewer possessions the less talented team has a better shot at the more talented team. But sometimes you get people just not comfortable. So its safe to say that Moreyball is an effective way to manage a professional-level basketball team. That comes to about 15 seconds per possession on average. I think teaching programs will have an advantage and it puts coaches at the forefront.. Archbishop Williams (14-0, 1) There's the Bishops, then a wide gap and then everybody else in the . In this age of uber-analytics at every turn, it can be hard to separate the signal from the noise. We have been doing this for several years now and have learned a few things along the way. "Is that any better? If the player throws the same good pass and the teammate misses the same shot there is no assist. (The higher the sample size, the more accurate the results.). What this all means is that if a high-school basketball team wants to use math to maximize their offensive efficiency, they should maximize their 3-pointers, free-throws, and close shots while minimizing mid-range jump shots, which, unfortunately, is a rather dull discovery, as these are the exact things taken into account when enforcing Moreyball at the professional level. A professional-level defensive example can be found in the Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat second-round match-up during the 2020 NBA playoffs. I consider shooting percentage to have its primary value in teaching shot selection. keep up the good work! Harden scored 45 points, matching his playoff scoring high set eight years ago with the Rockets. Divide their points by their number of possessions. In a recent Sports Illustrated article on the Los Angeles Clippers' excellent start to the 2016-17 season, it was mentioned that they were averaging 306 passes per game, illustrating how well the Clippers were sharing the ball this season. A possession is "a statistic in basketball defined as the time a team gains offensive possession of the ball until it scores, loses the ball, or commits a violation or foul.". I would suggest a new stat which I think is very important in motivating our defense to respond differently after a turnover. This was based on what I was doing at the high school level and it didn't occur to me (until now) that youth coaches might think this was intended for them. We have won numerous games over the years where the two teams shot basically the same percentage from the floor but the score wasn't close because of the number of turnovers we forced. I agree that turnover stats are very important. Really help me with the project I am working on!!! Is it perfect? Super Bowl LV. 10 years ago I would have said this is mostly a mathematical exercise, but given what the Warriors and Rockets have done to the NBA, I see it becoming a practical concern. The formula is EFG% = (2Pt + 1.5 x 3Pt) / FGA. If you have 15 turnovers in an 80 possession game, it won't be as detrimental. As we've explained in other articles, you should look at rebounding percentages instead of totals -- because totals do NOT give a true indication of your rebounding performance. But that hasnt stopped individual states from adding a shot clock within their own state athletic associations, and the idea is really beginning to pick up steam and support in Illinois throughout the basketball community. Of these three schools, Texas played at the fastest tempo, averaging 66.9 possessions per game . There were a total of 442 points scored in all four games, which with the 512 total possessions, gives us an overall average of 0.86 Points Per Possession (seen as the horizontal line shown in the graph). We are in the White-North and I think maybe 2 out of 10 teams in the conference have real scoreboards in their gyms. Free Throws Attempted per Field Goal Attempted, Opponent Percent of Points from 2 Pointers, Opponent Percent of Points from 3 Pointers, Opponent Percent of Points from Free Throws, Opponent Three Pointers Attempted per Game, Opponent Free Throws Made per 100 Possessions, Opponent Free Throws Attempted per Offensive Play, Opponent Personal Fouls per Defensive Play. Removing redundant buttons and prompting for events based on the situation at the moment would reduce clutter and make the program easier to use. For an example of what a possession chart looks like in use, check out this chart for a completed quarter. OReb% = OReb / (OReb + Opponents DReb). The shot clock was just recently adopted in Georgia with a phased-in approach. During the 2019-20 season, college basketball teams averaged about 70 possessions per game. That's all you can do. Maybe. We immediately yell " need a raider as we recover". Cookies | I told them what was more important was who was in the game at the finish when the game was on the line. Maine South coach Tony Lavorato has done nothing but win in Park Ridge, averaging 21 wins a year over the past 11 seasons, winning five regionals and a sectional title while playing in one of the states toughest conferences. Maybe you're focusing on the wrong things? But this past spring, the NFHS again rejected a proposal to mandate the use of a shot clock. MIAA releases first high school boys and girls basketball . Scoring was mostly between 111-113 points for about 20 years (from . Have you seen all the intricately-nuanced metrics the NBA tracks? Ive won some games by holding the ball but I know it is boring basketball and it is cheating the kids. For youth development, I agree with you. Picks Grid; Game Winner Picks; Point Spread Picks; . Effective Field Goal percentage gives you an accurate reading on who is shooting better you or your opponent. Isolating by shot type, free throws are usually going to be your highest points per possession total, hovering somewhere near 1.3. I think it is pointless to compare yours with your opponent's because you have no control over your opponent's shooting ability. Its simple. If you're not looking at those 4 stats above, how can you objectively determine what you should be focusing on as a coach? It didn't break my will; it made me stronger. The thing to consider is schools like ours, Clemente coach Adam Hoover said. I don't want the kids even seeing points because some never score yet. However during the off-season I may take a look at TO% and consider it down the road. From a numbers standpoint, mid-range shots are worth the same amount of points as close shots, they are more difficult to convert on than close shots, they are less likely to draw a foul on than close shots, and they dont net as many points as the only slightly more difficult three-pointers. Try These Ideas, Nail Your Next Interview: Create a Coaching Portfolio, Player Development: 10 Dynamic Drills That Utilize Cones or Chairs. Either way, despite the lack of sample size, it is clear that mid-range jump shots are the least efficient way to score in high school basketball, and if a team wants to maximize offensive efficiency with math, they should limit these shots to as few as possible. The NBA has been using a shot clock for over half a century, while the NCAA adopted the shot clock in 1985. Free throw percentage is the last piece of the puzzle. It needs some work. Loyola, in particular, is a prime example. Hudl is a product and service of Agile Sports Technologies, Inc. All text and design 2007-2023. It depends on the possession arrow. Livatino is one who says he doesnt see any negatives.. The IHSA surveyed basketball coaches around the state on the shot clock (and many other issues) in 2018. I think this early process has been great and intelligent in how its being done, Loyola coach Tom Livatino said. I almost always find one relative that loves to keep the stats. The National Federation of State High School . So how do you easily keep track of all these stats? In total, with the addition of Georgia, there will be 10 states in the country that now play with a shot clock, a rule in place to increase the pace of play. It makes for a more pure game and it keeps the game true, said Lavorato, who believes the shot clock can work to anyones advantage. And if you beat your opponent in 3 out of the 4 stats above, you'll usually win that game too. I'm glad your brought up PPP. I immediately look at the difference to see how our team is doing. And, because possessions are key, don't underestimate the importance of Turnovers. Its easy to measure. I'm a big believer in rebounding but turnovers and assists and understanding their underlying causes are really critical - are those points in the paint coming from assists? Your app looks pretty cool, and I like the stats. Sixteen minus fourteen is equal to? Mid-range and free-throws are clearly outliers, likely due to lack of volume size of possessions. Another possible possession outcome would be an offensive foul. Another defensive-minded first program with a distinct, patient offensive style, Loyola won 30 games and the Chicago Catholic League this past season. A higher sample size might bring this number down slightly, but I predict it will still remain the most efficient method of scoring. Taft coach Jason Tucker has recently changed his mind on the shot clock. (Note: Youth coaches should focus primarily on development and youth appropriate stats like rebounds, assists, high fives, completed passes and so on.). I can assure you that winning was just as important to me as it was for my Jr. High coach. Mar 4, 2021, 11:30am. For one, getting to the line gives you a "free shot". But the Ramblers allowed just two teams to score 50 or more points all season in 34 games played. The Daryl Morey-led Houston Rockets, who led the NBA in offensive rating, were playing the Golden State Warriors in game 7 of the Western Conference Finals of the 2018 playoffs. If a large contingent of coaches were in favor of adopting a shot clock, they could propose it to the IHSA Basketball Advisory Committee, Troha said. This would be a breath of fresh air for the game.. That comes to about 15 seconds per possession on average. Hudl Assist can help you get to the heart of the matter. The argument for a shot clock is simple: faster pace, more possessions, better game flow and increased strategy, particularly in the final minutes of a game. But there has never been as organized of a plan to implement it as there is today with a group of coaches who have put together a grassroots effort. The more prepared, the more organized team has a bigger advantage over the more talented team. 4) Fouls - Fouls are the enemy of good defense. However Field Goal Attempts does make sense to themI share stats with them and they understand the concept of getting more "shot attempts" than the other team. Marty -Thanks for the feedback! This is true but looking at the scoreboard is even faster. Transparency in Coverage. There are more than 100 schools with basketball teams in the city. A couple examplesWe have both 2pt and 3pt buttons because some people do NOT track shots on the shot chart. Making things even more complicated is the breakneck pace-and-space ethos that has quickly become the new normal at every level of the game. Therefore, turnovers is the most important offensive statistic because it measures team and individual performance, making some statistics, like assists, unecessary. I want to see the entire story in one simple and concise place. ). I can look and go, okay, if were playing a team and theyre playing zone, you know, points per possession, where are we weak basically, says Garrett Winegar, head boys basketball coach of nationally-ranked Warren Central (Ind.). Evanstons gym packed for a game against New Trier in 2019. There are only about 70 possessions for each team in the average college basketball game, so these numbers are higher that the points-per-game statistics you see used by the media. I rode the bench unless my team, The Glasva Orioles, were either way ahead or way behind. Hes excited about all the opportunities the shot clock creates for coaches. It was easier than winning. If a player is a good passer and has good decision making ability he/she will have few turnovers. NOTE: The stats on this page include data ONLY from games involving two NCAA Division-I schools. I should clarify. We had kids come in during the summer and shoot 1,000 every day.So, our goal was to shoot more FTs than they made. 2005-2023 CBS Interactive. Points per Game; Average Scoring Margin; Offensive Efficiency; Floor % 1st Quarter Points per Game; Possessions count the entire set of outcomes for a team's attempts to score in a given phase of play. You are going to employ more strategy into those possessions. 1. It builds character and allows us to use lack of attention to that recovery response as a reason to sub stitute. FG% is only relevant if the two teams' FGAs are relatively equal.You mentioned you don't emphasize FT% much but I would go further. Privacy Policy | He personally loves all the strategy involved, believing the hidden parts of the game become more free-flowing, such as forcing guys to transition offensively and defensively better. Jeff / David As for free throws. we were typically a pretty good FT shooting team. MaxPreps has found 112 instances in which a player has averaged 40 or more points in a season at . You can download the app in the iTunes store. We call them Raiders since that is our mascot. And when the lay ups are missed, you're very rarely in good box-out position. Sibley, who is averaging 8.5 points per game for Oakmont, also had an eight-point game in the Spartans' 55-28 loss to Nashoba on Thursday, Feb. 2. But he believes the shot clock benefits the coach. Ellis has coached in central Illinois while at Peoria Richwoods and in the Chicago area over the past decade at Evanston, playing different styles and utilizing various approaches for opponents. Some Public League coaches are concerned about the cost of installing and operating the shot clock. Lance - That is a good question. 1) Turnovers - As a coach, you want to know how many turnovers you commit and how it compares to your opponent. Do the arithmetic. A score-stop-score sequence is most desirable. Or does it take more than one person? But I do want them seeing hustle stats like rebounds, loose ball recoveries, and made passes are great too because it's something everyone can succeed at and start building confidence.The other factor of more buttons vs. fewer buttons with prompting: I found it took longer to tap a button and then be prompted for a second item as opposed to hitting one button that didn't require a second prompt. Appreciate it! In the example below several possession outcomes are noted. Weve kept some pretty good teams under a .7 even, which is outstanding really.. 1 determining factor between wins and losses for high school teams, . Formula - How to calculate Team Possessions. EFG% affects many areas of the game. EFG% gives more credit to made 3 point field goals since they yield 1.5 times the scoring of a 2 point field goal. In 2018-19, players are making early 3s at a 37.3 percent rate, whereas the more patient variety splash home at a 35.5 percent rate. If as a coach, you can find a way to consistently take more shots than your opponent and shoot a higher percentage, you're going to win a lot of basketball games! Using points per possession with lineups can help you manage them much more efficiently. Some people only track a few stats. Required fields are marked *. It presumes of course that your team plays great defense. Give it a try, it's free! Whether you compare to the opponent or use TO%, there are shortcomings because of numerous factors. The last four seasons, the Orange have had an offensive APL rank of 41, 12, 133, and 4, while their adjusted tempo has ranked 252, 209, 177, and 41. Of course you want to get there more often, for a variety of reasons. If theyre above .8, were not happy. I have always thought rebounding % was more important then total rebounds for reasons you mentioned above. http://www.breakthroughbasketball.com/stats/3-adjustments-youth.html, http://www.breakthroughbasketball.com/coaching/Bigelow-Encouraging-Players.html. Table; Per 100 Team Possessions Shooting Advanced; Rk Season Lg Age Ht Wt G FG FGA 3P 3PA FT FTA ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS FG% 3P% FT% Pace eFG% TOV% . What this means is that if you hope to play varsity basketball one day, make sure you practice your free-throws. It sounds like you're targeting many different use models, which is hard to do. The following two tabs change content below. Thanks for posting! Without having to account for pace, points per possession can tell you right away which lineup combinations are working, and which arent (or should be dashed altogether). All you have to do is watch the after-timeout-plays that are run in college and the pros, Lavorato said. Theres so much noise to sift through in todays analytics-driven game. What this means is that a team could set their defensive priorities by: forcing the other team to take mid-range jump shots, limiting fouling, protecting the paint, and closing out on 3-point shooters. That's why if you believe effective field goal percentage is the No. Any player or our team that causes us to get the ball back without them scoring gets a raider. Ballard of Louisville, Ky., led this season by senior point guard Quentin Snider, is one of the highest scoring teams in the country at over 82 points per game. Also, here are a couple good articles about stats for youth teams: http://www.breakthroughbasketball.com/stats/3-adjustments-youth.html http://www.breakthroughbasketball.com/coaching/Bigelow-Encouraging-Players.html.

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average possessions per high school basketball game